March 22 (Reuters) – Russian and Kazakhstan oil exports via the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC) from the Black Sea may fall by up to 1 million barrels per day (bpd), or 1% of global oil production, due to storm-damaged berths, a Russian official said on Tuesday.
Pavel Sorokin, a deputy energy minister, said the second berth could also turn out to be damaged after initial information about one of the three being damaged by a storm.
Sorokin said the maintenance could take up to two months, which could lead to exports falling by up to 1 million bpd.
A storm in Russia’s section of the Black Sea has damaged loading equipment of CPC, one of the world’s biggest oil pipelines, which ships crude from Kazakhstan to global markets, its operator said earlier on Tuesday.
The CPC pipeline has been in the spotlight since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which has restricted Russian exports and led to an oil price spike. The United States has imposed sanctions on Russian oil, but said flows from Kazakhstan through Russia should run uninterrupted.
The pipeline ships around 1.2 million barrels per day, or 1.2% of the global demand. Any major disruption to its flows will put further strain on a global oil market facing one of the worst supply crunches since the Arab oil embargo in the 1970s.
Most of the oil in the pipeline belongs to Russia, Kazakhstan and international oil majors such as Chevron (CVX.N). It exports oil from Russia’s Black Sea port of Novorossiisk.
A Chevron spokesperson said the company was “currently assessing the situation.”
The operator of the CPC pipeline initially said one of three mooring points has been damaged by the storm and it will take at least three weeks to repair while waiting for a vessel. It said it hoped exports will not be affected, as two other berths could continue to operate normally.
“Due to the weather anomaly, CPC facilities were damaged. … There is risk that (a second berth) is also damaged,” he said in a video posted by the Energy Ministry.
Major global trading houses such as Vitol and Trafigura said on Tuesday they estimated the current Russian oil disruption at 2 million to 3 million bpd. They said the world could barely cope with a disruption exceeding 2 million bpd because it would lead to a further price spike and economic recession.
Russia has said Western sanctions over Ukraine amount to an economic war against it. Officials have said Moscow would resort to all available tools to defend itself, including possibly limiting gas supplies to Europe.
The U.S. Treasury on Friday told buyers to be cautious if they think certificates stating crude from the CPC is not of Russian origin have been falsified.
路透 3 月 22 日 – 由于风暴破坏，俄罗斯和哈萨克斯坦通过里海管道联盟 (CPC) 从黑海出口的石油可能每天减少多达 100 万桶 (bpd)，或全球石油产量的 1%一位俄罗斯官员周二表示。
能源部副部长帕维尔·索罗金（Pavel Sorokin）表示，在关于三个泊位中的一个被风暴损坏的初步信息后，第二个泊位也可能被损坏。
索罗金表示，维护可能需要长达两个月的时间，这可能导致出口量下降多达 100 万桶/日。
周二早些时候，俄罗斯黑海地区的一场风暴损坏了 CPC 的装载设备，CPC 是世界上最大的输油管道之一，该管道将原油从哈萨克斯坦运往全球市场。
自俄罗斯入侵乌克兰以来，CPC 管道一直备受关注，这限制了俄罗斯的出口并导致油价飙升。美国已对俄罗斯石油实施制裁，但表示从哈萨克斯坦通过俄罗斯的石油供应应该不间断。
该管道每天运送约 120 万桶石油，占全球需求的 1.2%。其流动的任何重大中断都将给面临自 1970 年代阿拉伯石油禁运以来最严重的供应紧缩之一的全球石油市场带来进一步的压力。
管道中的大部分石油属于俄罗斯、哈萨克斯坦和雪佛龙(CVX.N)等国际石油巨头。它从俄罗斯的黑海港口新罗西斯克出口石油。
雪佛龙公司的一位发言人表示，该公司“目前正在评估情况”。
CPC管道的运营商最初表示，三个系泊点中的一个已被风暴破坏，在等待船只时至少需要三周时间才能修复。它表示希望出口不会受到影响，因为另外两个泊位可以继续正常运营。
他在能源部发布的视频中说：“由于天气异常，CPC 设施遭到破坏。……（第二个泊位）也有损坏的风险。”
维多（Vitol）和托克（Trafigura）等主要全球贸易公司周二表示，他们估计当前俄罗斯石油中断量为 200 万至 300 万桶/日。他们表示，世界几乎无法应对超过 200 万桶/日的中断，因为这将导致价格进一步飙升和经济衰退。
俄罗斯曾表示，西方对乌克兰的制裁相当于一场针对它的经济战争。官员们表示，莫斯科将诉诸一切可用的工具来保护自己，包括可能限制对欧洲的天然气供应。
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